Coin Machine Review (& Pacific ...)

Issue: 1948 August

says honey demand is still slow and prices
were lower in some areas; honey crop out-
look this year is for smaller production_
Honey producing states in order are Iowa,
Minnesota, California, New York and T ex-
as_
Milk- Presen t prices are at a record
level and current reports suggest they may
remain high for the year- Ice cream trade
is most worried about big decline in milk
producti on. Much of the experimental work
in candy is with dry milk solids, especially
on what dry milk powders have to do with
keeping qualities of candy. Output of dry
milk products ha s been showing good in-
creases.
Mint Oils - Prices on peppermint oil
were holdin g up even though reports on
new crop indicated a good supply. In June,
crop reports began to conflict and at the
time of this review, a definite suggestion
on probable price trends was not available.
Nuts-Outlook for new peanut crop gen-
erally favorabl e, some states even better
than last year; demand and sales light in
most areas, and prices steady. Nut market
in New York is season alit dull. Early re-
port on Calif. alm on d crop is that it will
be below last year, probably a 60 per cent
crop.
Raisins - Demand is increasing and
prices are advanc ing ; supply is said to be
below trade need; new pack moves in
October-
Soybeans - Price trend slightly down-
ward on basis of new crop. Some of the
experimen ts in the candy trade use soybean
products with dry milk and the outlook
is promising. Makers of soybean products
were active at the recent national candy
trade convention.
Sugar-Strike of sugar workers in Cuba
was recently postponed when the govern-
ment froze wages; this column has men-
tioned this explosive situation before. Sugar
prices are now advancing and some market
experts fear consumers may start buying
against higher prices this fall. Both raw
and refined sugar are holdin g at firmer
price levels. Price on 1949 futures are
slightly below 1948 futures which indicates
confidence in the next crop. One major
sugar firm says it is unlikely that sugar
will again sell at old-time levels.
Tobacco- Export of tobacco for the Eu-
ropean aid program and extension of gov-
ernment price supports indicates that leaf
tobacco prices will remain high. Crop re-
ports thus far are favorable. Rumors that
manufacturers may consider another price
increase on cigarettes, due to high tobacco
costs, are bein g revived.
Vanilla-Mexico has the largest vanilla
supply in history and candy and ice cream
trades are being told they need fear no
shortage this year. Dry weather has hurt
the outlook on the new crop for next year,
however.
Mfrs. Mum On Cig
Price Increase
NEW YORK-A blunt question on
whether cigarette prices might soon be in-
creased brought no information from J. W.
Andrews, president of Liggett & Myers
Tobacco Co., at a recent meeting of stock-
holders.
Andrews reported on estimated sales of
Chesterfields and other products for the
first half of 1948, being probably the first
cigarette maker to issue a report on the
first half of the year. Earnings of the com-
pany were at least as good as for the
period last year, Andrews said, and he
promised more data which will probably
be out by the time this issue is in the
hands of readers.
The stockholders of the firm making
AUGUST, 7948
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KEENEY
~ith
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SUPER CHANGE MAKER (optional). Handles nickels, dimes, and quarters.
Returns a nickel on 20c sales when a quarter is used. Returns a nickel
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HOLDS 432 CIGARETTE PACKS in fully loaded double columns, (front and
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Chesterfields had been told that leaf tobac-
co costs for the next crop would be hi gher
than on last year's crop, and that brought
the question on possibility of another in-
crease in cigarette prices at th e whole-
sale level.
Rumblings of possible price increase on
cigarettes at the wholesale level have been
current for some time, and readers of
AUTOMATIC VENDING have been informed
a t intervals of these rumblings. Such a
move would be the second increase by
manufacturers since the end of the war
(previous increase was in Oct. 1946) .
Prospect of a cigarette price increase
may have also been given some weight
when Bayuk recently announced price in-
creases on some types of Phillies cigars.
Other cigar makers are expected to follow
the example, a nd the move is certain to
CHICAGO 32, ILLINOIS
increase the price pressure in the cigar-
ette fi eld.
The recent action of Congress in extend-
ing government price support on leaf to-
bacco also has weight in the general prob-
lem of increasing cigarette prices. All of
the major cigarette compani es have empha-
sized the hi gh cost of leaf tobacco in their
reports to stockholders for the last two
years, and many have regarded this in-
formation as prepar in g th e way for prob-
able price increases.
A general price increase on cigare ttes
would begin to raise serious problems
for operators of cigarette vendors in
some states and cities, due to high
taxes on the product. A recent example
has occurred in Louisiana, when a
three-cent increase in the state tax on
cigarettes has made it n ecessar y to raise
51
the retail price above 25 cents. if a
profit is to be made.
Selling cigarettes at a price above 25
cents per pack poses a mechanical prob-
lem more serious than tax and price
changes have compelled in the past. Due
to the fact that state and city taxes on
cigarettes are in creasing in number and
amount, a price increase by manufacturers
would bring a problem for operators in
states other than Louisiana.
The general view is that the public
would pay higher prices for cigarettes, if
necessary, although the U. S. Dept. of
Commerce is on record with a warning
that the peak of cigarette sales may come
at any time now, if the cost of living begins
to pinch smokers too much. The Dept. says
smokers will save on clothing and even
car expenses before cutting down on
smokes.
In the background, there are a lot of
pros and cons on the question of tobacco
costs in making cigarettes. Some spokes-
men for manufacturers have said , tobacco
costs account for as much as 70 per cent
of the production cost of cigarettes. The
U. S. Dept. of Agriculture issued a bulletin
in 1945, giving a breakdown on cigarettes,
and tobacco cost is put as a minor part
of the total.
Tobacco leaf prices were cut sharply by
buyers in the midst of the market season
in 1946. Rumors suggested a similar move
by buyers at the height of the buying sea-
son of 1947 but the newspapers in tobacco
states and Tobacco Weekly, a trade paper,
flatly warned manufacturers that such a step
might prove " disastrous." So tobacco leaf
prices in 1947 set a record, much above
parity prices on good grades.
It now appears cigarette makers may be
considering a price increase as the best
way out in an era of generally high costs.
Earnings of the companies in the first half
of 1948 may be the deciding point.
MERCHANDISE
(Continued from Page 37)
ette output in April put the total at 16.5
per cent above a year ago. For the ten
months of the fiscal tax year, total cigarette
output was 4.3 per cent above the same
period a year ago. Output also climbed
about 10 per cent in April over the month
of March. Dept. of Agriculture estimates
that cigarette consumption for current fiscal
year mB,y run as high as 375 billion, saying
that high personal income level keeps the
consumption up.
Annual report of Philip Morris, released
in June, showed sales in U. S. as making
good gains but foreign sales of the brand
were off. FTC hearings on the long standing
case against Luckies for its advertising,
condemning use of "toasted" and the "two
to one" choice of tobacco experts, were re-
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Cookies- National Biscuit took the re-
cent news spotlight, with its expansion
plans, etc. Eight new'Jllants are planned and
two should be finished in 1948; new plants
will be used chiefly to increase output of
soda and butter crackers. Firm reported
prices are now about 5 per cent above last
year but no further increases are expected
- unless materials also advance. Cost of
raw materials is now about 30 per cent of
total expense.
Coffee - Spot market began showing
some declines in June and futures trading
for July held steady for a period of at least
two weeks; Brazil was supporting its prices
to prevent further declines.
Frozen Foods-Recent reports empha-
size fact that the trade has improved its
distribution and can now begin to build
up sales again. The weeding out process is
finished, trade leaders say. Prices on equip-
ment still remain high.
Ice Cream- Government reports show
April output of ice cream made good season-
al gains over March, but that total was
5 per cent under year ago. Output for first
four months of the year is 9 per cent under
the same period a year ago, but is 31 per
cent above the 5-year average for the period.
Ice cream trade reports that temperatures
in April were seasonally normal for most
parts of the country, that butterfat content
of ice cream was slightly below the first
three montbs of the year. States showing
gains in ice cream output were Ind., Ill.,
Wis., and Okla. Pacific Coast states had
biggest drop in output compared with
April last year. June was dairy month for
the nation and big booster campaign for
ice cream was heralded in Saturday Evening
Post (June 26) with a full pa'ge ad in color.
Juices-Chicago market on citrus juices
still described as U1isettled, with wide varia-
tions between unknown brands and the best
advertised brands. Retail stores still offer
46-oz. orange juice at bargain prices, al-
though wholesale trade does not warrant
reduced prices. One chain has recently
offered two 16-oz. cans of grapefruit juice
at 25 cents. Dept. of Agriculture estimates
that consumption of juices has been gain-
ing steadily since 1943 and that 1948 use
will show good gains, per capita use quad-
rupling that of the prewar period. Florida
trade reports that 1948-1949 season produc-
tion will be somewhat smaller than that of
the season just ending; orange outlook is
for 72 per cent of a full crop, and grape-
fruit at 69 per cent of a full crop.
P eanuts-Crop report for June 1 gave
Virginia-Carolina region as generally good,
but stands in some areas about 75 per cent;
the market for shelled peanuts is improv-
ing.
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52
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COIN MACHINE REVIEW

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